Scenario
Choose a pattern
Claim Sorting
What job is each statement doing?
Sort each statement into one reasoning category. The goal is not to memorize labels; it is to slow down before turning a pattern into a causal story.
Magnitude Check
Could this cause be strong enough?
This toy check does not estimate real parameters. It teaches the habit of matching effect size, time scale, and stochastic noise before naming a cause.
Simplification Flags